Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.071154 0.078960 0.087533 0.097695 0.109474 0.122770 0.139018
2024-10-06 0.060159 0.070871 0.083624 0.100126 0.121211 0.147664 0.184048
2024-10-13 0.051074 0.062872 0.077794 0.098464 0.127041 0.166249 0.226175
2024-10-20 0.045561 0.058151 0.074896 0.099491 0.135964 0.190318 0.282341
2024-10-27 0.040859 0.053671 0.071416 0.098772 0.141830 0.210838 0.339209
2024-11-03 0.037738 0.050863 0.069723 0.100126 0.150764 0.237916 0.416438
2024-11-10 0.035149 0.048447 0.068181 0.101297 0.159391 0.266353 0.507361
2024-11-17 0.032617 0.045804 0.065912 0.100832 0.164933 0.290332 0.599268
2024-11-24 0.030800 0.044038 0.064762 0.101992 0.173524 0.322519 0.726682
2024-12-01 0.029226 0.042481 0.063744 0.103168 0.182290 0.357545 0.882202
2024-12-08 0.027786 0.040996 0.062661 0.104024 0.190518 0.393851 1.066410
2024-12-15 0.026344 0.039376 0.061169 0.103872 0.196539 0.426711 1.265082
2024-12-22 0.024838 0.037561 0.059211 0.102652 0.200209 0.455503 1.478358
2024-12-29 0.023980 0.036771 0.059002 0.104911 0.212485 0.513276 1.881839
2025-01-05 0.022631 0.035037 0.056912 0.103006 0.214309 0.540882 2.178240
2025-01-12 0.021785 0.034117 0.056247 0.104037 0.223822 0.597416 2.729478
2025-01-19 0.020791 0.032863 0.054836 0.103250 0.228412 0.639589 3.275302
2025-01-26 0.020133 0.032167 0.054437 0.104675 0.239443 0.711243 4.227895
2025-02-02 0.019503 0.031477 0.053983 0.105913 0.250294 0.788798 5.502755
2025-02-09 0.018741 0.030492 0.052859 0.105418 0.255917 0.848050 6.839981
2025-02-16 0.018204 0.029892 0.052465 0.106647 0.267265 0.941365 9.174656
2025-02-23 0.017702 0.029329 0.052098 0.107894 0.279082 1.046402 12.592767
2025-03-02 0.017201 0.028736 0.051620 0.108802 0.290087 1.156855 17.480413